Urea’s 28% decline isn’t a surprise

The price of Urea fell 28% last night

4 months ago, I posted this about another parabolic price move…this time it was Urea.


More recently, this post correlated the shortage of AdBlue with rising Urea prices.


It’s not about whether you buy it or trade it; these type of posts are about when to stay away.

Once again, parabola’s mean revert and markets find a way to either add supply or temper demand, as prices dictate.

I’m expecting more mean reversion and a $380-$420 price into 2023.

January 28, 2022

by Rob Zdravevski


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