Funny How……We now listen to the IMF’s forecasts

Increasingly over the past year or so, more and more media attention has been paid to the financial forecasting opinions of the likes of the IMF, the Bank of England, the Federal Reserve and the ECB.

Why do the opinions of these bodies economic teams suddenly hold merit?

After all, none of them told us about financial crisis that was looming in 2007.

So why believe them now?

 

A freeze of a different kind

Over the weekend, the European Central Bank (ECB) decided to steal up to 40% of the bank deposits held in the Cypriot banks above EUR 100,000.

This will specifically affect a large amount of Russian owned deposits. Moreover, the Russian government was humiliated over the weekends decision for they were not consulted after having been courted earlier in the week.

Furthermore, when banks re-open, capital controls will most likely exist to prevent the free flow of money out of Cyprus.

I think Europe themselves needs to prepare for a different type of freeze.

Come this winter (December 2013-Feb 2014) I would expect Russia to re-coup some of “their” money by turning off the gas pipelines to Europe.

Energy prices will rise, utilities will be affected and the consumers pockets will be hit.

A population doesn’t like being hungry and especially freezing cold. Watch out for any growing social backlash against Europe’s politicians.

 

 

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