The Loonie, inflation and commodity prices

The Canadian Dollar will appear in some ‘extreme’ categories in tomorrows edition of Macro Extremes.

The study below shows the CAD/USD dancing with the Bloomberg Commodity Index and the Canadian Inflation Rate.

Incidentally, that Canadian inflation rate has eased from 8% to its current 2.7%.

July 27, 2024

by Rob Zdravevski

rob@karriasset.com.au

Screenshot

Timber !

The 3 best commodities trades since the March 2020 lows have been Long Oil, Silver and Lumber.

 

Yes…..Lumber. (see chart below)

All have doubled over the past 4 months.

Where to next….
Oil’s bullish trend is still intact,

Silver is overbought, at extremes and warrants caution if you are long (susceptible to a pullback to $18),

and Lumber is a Sell. With its 3 standard deviation above its ‘weekly’ mean and an outside reversal week, it’s time to cash in the (wood) chips.

by Rob Zdravevski
July 27, 2020
rob@karriasset.com.au