Gilts have risen but not at extremes

British 30 year bond yields are in todays financial market news.

Much being said about their new highs being made.

It’s OK, they can float around here (+/- 1%).

They might be a little stretched but not at an extreme.

Same goes for #British 10’s.

January 7, 2025

rob@karriasset.com.au

#gilts

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For now, Gilt yields are stretched

British 10 year government bond yields are seldom this distance above its 200 week moving average while simultaneously registering a weekly overbought reading.

Forgetting Bank of England policy rate setting, I can see these 10’s back down around 2.40% over the coming 9-15 months.

Demand destruction commensurate with decline in GDP will aide this thesis.

June 21, 2023

by Rob Zdravevski

rob@karriasset.com.au

British Gilt yields at extremes

My latest edition (written every Sunday) of Macro Extremes said, “In this weeks list, the British 10’s entered an overbought territory while the other 2, 3 and 5 year durations are nearly doing the same.”

And so during this current week we are now seeing the British government bond yields across 2, 3 and 5 year maturities trading at 2.5 standard deviations above their rolling weekly mean.

May 24, 2023

by Rob Zdravevski

rob@karriasset.com.au