pondering ‘what if’ lower oil prices

September 5, 2024 Leave a comment

A call that I’m not hearing much about it for lower #oil prices.

My historical posts have called for WTI Crude to around an initial visit to $64, and failing that $46-$48.

I think the probability for the latter is gaining.

Today, WTI Crude is $69.40.

A $46 price in WTI #Crude correlate with lower Nat Gas prices and the share prices of related petro/hydro chemical companies.

As an example, that may translate to seeing the trading of stock prices in companies such as #Woodside (WDS.AX) at A$19, #BP at 333p and #Occidental (OXY.N) <US$38.

September 5, 2024

by Rob Zdravevski

rob@karriasset.com.au

Filed under Finance & Investment Tagged with , , , , , ,

My Oil Juxtaposition

August 20, 2020 Leave a comment

I am (long term) bullish on the price of Brent crude oil, which will be another note for another day…..

but I am bearish on the equity prices of large oil companies, especially those listed in the U.S. due to their declining oil reserves, poor exploration and production cost management, awful capital allocation towards acquisitions, debt laden balance sheets while insisting on maintaining historical dividend distributions at any cost.

Furthermore, a recent brainstorm with a client (and friend) confirms the industry is operating with technology and a mentality that hasn’t changed for 50 years which has resulted in a dearth of innovation and lack of efficiencies being sought.

Shareholders of Exxon Mobil, Chevron, ConocoPhillips, Occidental, Apache and the like, should allocate ample time to assess their holdings, hedging and strategy,

while shareholders of oil field service companies…….

August 20, 2020
by Rob Zdravevski
rob@karriasset.com.au

Filed under Finance & Investment Tagged with , , , , , , ,