Unloved coal

Equity prices of Coal mining companies are troughing as last seen in 2020.

March 10, 2025

rob@karriasset.com.au

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Coal is the word

Newcastle Coal prices are trading at extremes which I haven’t seen in 4 years.

Electricity generators in Japan, South Korea, India, Taiwan and Singapore should be happy buyers.

More so, that shipping day rates are cheaper while ‘marine diesel’ has been steady for a couple years.

December 26, 2024

rob@karriasset.com.au

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Coal prices have lower to go

Observe the gravitational pull of that 200 week moving average.

That’s the mellow, flowing line in the chart below featuring the price of Australian coal company, Whitehaven Coal (WHC.AX).

It’s somewhat summoning the price of Whitehaven Coal down towards $4, as I mused in this post 2 months ago.

Coal was one of the commodities which featured in this 2022 post that warned of various ‘bubbles’ that I was observing.

Incidentally, amidst any parabolic fervour is also when corporates should be putting the value of their inflated ‘currency’ (their equity price) to some use.

Sometimes speculators have an aversion to locking in gains from such parabolic fortuitousness because they fear paying ‘too much tax’.

It is no wonder than mean reversion helps sorts any tax concerns, to the point when you won’t have a tax problem at all.

April 13, 2023

by Rob Zdravevski

rob@karriasset.com.au

Political Trade Destruction

Dear Australian #auspol politicians involved in incompetent trade and diplomatic rhetoric……it is in the “Chinese” tea leaves, that Iron Ore is next on the list of ‘sanctions’. I just wish the media would call them sanctions. It would sell so much more advertising…..

Politicians who are inexperienced in business and unable reading the geopolitical mood are causing more damage than their pea brains can possibly imagine.

Don’t they understand that a backbencher from an obscure political seat calling for an “inquiry into the origins of a Chinese flu” is a badly weighted bet and ramifications of the rebuttal can hardy be comprehended by someone inadequately positioned to speak in a manner within a nation’s parliament.

In these circumstances, political table-pounding seldom prevails over commercial reality and necessity.

Don’t look know, but to the complacent producers of current and future ‘sanctioned’ products, our politicians are doing some effective price mean reversion on behalf of your wallet.

October 13, 2020
by Rob Zdravevski
rob@karriasset.com.au